March milk production up just 0.9%

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Milk production, U.S. and major dairy states, March 2013-2014

 

 

 

 

Total milk

 production

 

 

Cows12

Milk per cow2

March 2013

March 2014

Change

 

(1,000 head)

(Lbs./month)

(Million lbs.)

(Million lbs.)

2013-2014

Arizona

192

2,230

423

428

1.2

California

1,781

2,140

3,676

3,811

3.7

Colorado

140

2,120

279

297

6.5

Florida

123

1,905

227

234

3.1

Idaho

568

2,025

1,131

1,150

1.7

Illinois

95

1,770

171

168

-1.8

Indiana

176

1,890

331

333

0.6

Iowa

204

1,925

407

393

-3.4

Kansas

136

1,875

252

255

1.2

Michigan

381

2,090

794

796

0.3

Minnesota

459

1,700

811

780

-3.8

Missouri

323

2,210

715

714

-0.1

New Mexico

615

1,885

1,159

1,159

n.c.

New York

266

1,720

481

458

-4.8

Ohio

125

1,800

216

225

4.2

Oregon

531

1,750

926

929

0.3

Pennsylvania

95

1,830

171

174

1.8

Texas

445

2,010

840

894

6.4

Utah

95

1,860

171

177

3.5

Vermont

131

1,730

226

227

0.4

Virginia

93

1,690

153

157

2.6

Washington

270

2,075

541

560

3.5

Wisconsin

1,270

1,860

2,400

2,362

-1.6

23-State

8,514

1,959

16,501

16,681

1.1

U.S.

9,218

1,935

17,677

17,833

0.9

1/ Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh.

 

 

2/ 2013 estimates not available due to sequestration budget cuts in 2013

Source: USDA

 

 

 

 

Nationally, March 2014 milk production was estimated at 17.83 billion lbs., up just 0.9% from March 2013, according to USDA’s monthly report released March 21. Milk cow numbers were estimated at 9.22 million head, 3,000 head more than February 2014. Production per cow averaged 1,959 lbs. for March.

Both Dave Kurzawski, with FCStone, and Eric Meyer, from HighGround Dairy, called the report “neutral” versus market expectations.

“While we can’t point to anything on the report that was bullish vs. our pre-report expectations, the numbers were very close (to our estimates), and the revision in cow numbers from last month is a trend that’s likely to continue given the slowing slaughter rate we’ve seen,” Kurzawski said. “Futures had almost no reaction in electronic trading following the report release. While we’ve not seen a bullish response in the futures market from this report, it certainly may provide some underlying support below the marketplace, as supply hasn’t been as plentiful as many in the industry expected, given the strength we’ve seen in the IOFC and milk-feed ratio.”

 

Major dairy states

March milk production in the 23 major dairy states was estimated at 16.68 billion lbs., up just 1.1% from March 2013. February revised production at 14.9 billion lbs., was up 1.3% from February 2013. The February revision represented a decrease of 18 million lbs. or (0.1%) from last month's preliminary production estimate.

Milk cow numbers in the 23 major states for March was 8.51 million head, 1,000 head more than February 2014. Production per cow in those states averaged 1,959 lbs. for March.

March 2013 U.S. and major dairy states cow numbers and milk production per cow were not available, due to budget sequestration during much of last year, which limited USDA surveys.

 

Quarterly estimates

U.S. milk production during the January-March quarter totaled 51.1 billion lbs., up 1.0% from the the same quarter last year. Milk cow numbers for the quarter averaged 9.22 million head.



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