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Dairy markets weren’t feeling the love today, with both Class III and Class IV mostly moving lower.
The softness in butter continues to line up with anecdotal reports that butterfat levels are high and cream is available
Class III futures started the day 10-20 cents lower in the nearby contracts before a positive spot cheese auction brought them up on the day.
The CME butter market rebounded off its recent lows, climbing to $2.4300 per pound, gaining a nickel.
Much like the Philadelphia Eagles’ dominant Super Bowl victory, the cheese market put up a strong performance today, with blocks and barrels climbing higher in the spot session.
Class III futures tumbled today, erasing the week’s stronger activity following a weaker spot session.
U.S. cheese exports surged ahead in December, totaling 96.7 million pounds.
Class III futures were on a roller coaster with back-and-forth tariff news.
Ramped up conversations around possible 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada plus 10% tariffs on Chinese goods sent the cheese market sharply lower last night and weakness continued through today’s session.
Dairy cow slaughter rates are well above prior-year levels. For the week ending January 18, culling totaled 58,000 head, up 13.5% on the year.
Class III futures were reluctant to follow several days of green with further higher price action, and showed modest declines or gains depending on the month.
Class III milk futures continued their strong momentum today, with blocks and barrels both posting gains with no offers appearing during the cheese session.
It’s pretty safe to say that the Class III market direction remains unclear.
The market appears to be grappling with uncertainty around Class III prices, particularly as we approach a critical day tomorrow with the release of the Milk Production and Cold Storage reports.
Class III prices continued yesterday’s limit moves, opening red and trading as much as 30 cents lower in nearby months.