Latest News From Fran Howard

U.S. Dairy Exports Finally Pick Up
U.S. Dairy Exports Finally Pick Up

Cheese exports in February Soar as Mexico buys record volumes.

New Plant Capacity Collides with Shrinking Milk Supply
New Plant Capacity Collides with Shrinking Milk Supply

Southwest plant expansions will likely draw milk from distant regions

Margin and Cost Improvements Not Good Enough
Margin and Cost Improvements Not Good Enough

Depooling, new cheese production capacity, lower component prices all take toll on income.

America's Heifer Shortage is Preventing Expansion. Is the Big Money for Beef-on-Dairy a Factor?
America's Heifer Shortage is Preventing Expansion. Is the Big Money for Beef-on-Dairy a Factor?

Higher prices for beef calves are incentivizing dairy producers to breed crossbred bull calves

Milk Production in Europe Continues to Fall: Here are Two Big Reasons Why
Milk Production in Europe Continues to Fall: Here are Two Big Reasons Why

Environmental restrictions and low milk prices continue to challenge European milk producers.

Global Demand for Cheese Continues to Climb
Global Demand for Cheese Continues to Climb

2024 should be a good year for U.S. cheese exporters.

World Milk Production Begins New Year Weak
World Milk Production Begins New Year Weak

Faltering global demand could offset milk production losses.

Mexico’s Dairy Demand to Grow in 2024
Mexico’s Dairy Demand to Grow in 2024

A growing population and an increase in consumer purchasing power in Mexico will support U.S. exports

China’s Weakening Economic Growth Impacts Dairy
China’s Weakening Economic Growth Impacts Dairy

Estimates call for slower growth going forward in the world’s second-largest economy.

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Whey Market Appears to be Tightening

Demand for high-protein whey products appear to be lifting the whey complex.

Lack of Dairy Replacements has Slowed Slaughter
Lack of Dairy Replacements has Slowed Slaughter

The U.S. milk-cow herd could soon stabilize as dairy profits improve.

El Niño Intensifies Following Four-Year Hiatus
El Niño Intensifies Following Four-Year Hiatus

El Niño could have profound impacts on agricultural production, including dairy output, across the globe in the coming months. This comes at the same time when food insecurity is increasing.

Holiday Rally Sends Butter Prices to Unexplored Highs
Holiday Rally Sends Butter Prices to Unexplored Highs

Shellshocked buyers push butter prices to new heights ahead of the holidays

Dairy Profit Margins Tank
Dairy Profit Margins Tank

Many milk checks fall well short of covering even the cost of production.

Uruguay’s Milk Surplus to Look for New Home
Uruguay’s Milk Surplus to Look for New Home

Weakening demand for dairy in Brazil shuts door on Uruguayan exporters.

Milk Powder Prices Sink
Milk Powder Prices Sink

Economic issues and demographic changes don’t bode well for Global dairy demand.

China’s Weakening Economy Spells Trouble for Dairy
China’s Weakening Economy Spells Trouble for Dairy

Changing demographics could eventually diminish China’s Importance in global dairy markets.

Multiple-Year Low Margins to Eventually Cut Supply
Multiple-Year Low Margins to Eventually Cut Supply

Those in Class III markets will feel the brunt of some of the lowest prices in years. While relief is coming in the form of lower feed prices, a drop in costs won’t be enough to offset their declining milk checks.

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Whey Weighing Heavily on Class III Prices

CME dry whey prices set all-time lows.

High Beef Prices to Encourage On-Going Dairy Culling
High Beef Prices to Encourage On-Going Dairy Culling

As beef production falls, meatpackers will be looking to dairy producers for cattle

Flavored Milks in Schools Win in Committee
Flavored Milks in Schools Win in Committee

School milk remains an important part of the Class I market, especially as overall milk consumption declines.

Americans Continue their Love Affair with Ice Cream
Americans Continue their Love Affair with Ice Cream

Since record-keeping began, U.S. annual per capita ice cream consumption has nearly doubled

Weak Global Demand for U.S. Corn Good for Dairy
Weak Global Demand for U.S. Corn Good for Dairy

A big U.S. corn crop could further reduce feed prices.

Early El Niño Impacts to Vary
Early El Niño Impacts to Vary

The Southern Hemisphere will bear the brunt of this year’s El Niño

Ukraine’s Dairy Sector Still Devastated by Russian Invasion
Ukraine’s Dairy Sector Still Devastated by Russian Invasion

After workers left for the frontline and processors stopped paying, producers have become reluctant to rebuild their herds.

California Storms Both a Blessing and a Curse
California Storms Both a Blessing and a Curse

As California’s multi-year drought recedes, producers evacuate cows and future milk production could suffer.

Food Prices Soar Again in January
Food Prices Soar Again in January

Despite interest rate hikes, food inflation remains stubbornly high.

Culling Rates Higher than a Year Ago
Culling Rates Higher than a Year Ago

High slaughter rates could curtail milk production growth in 2023.

Milk Supply Burdensome in the Plains
Milk Supply Burdensome in the Plains

Processors overwhelmed with supply buy deeply discounted milk.

California Dairy Industry Hasn’t Escaped Damage from Storms
California Dairy Industry Hasn’t Escaped Damage from Storms

As La Niña gives way to El Niño, weather patterns will shift once again but producers need to plan for more extreme weather.

Recession Fears and Inflation Could Cut Deeper into Dairy Demand
Recession Fears and Inflation Could Cut Deeper into Dairy Demand

Despite moderating overall food price inflation, food prices around the globe remain historically high and inflationary pressures persist.

France Edges Out Argentina in Dairy
France Edges Out Argentina in Dairy

When it comes to dairy, France may have the edge on Argentina, but when it comes to soccer, Argentina has proven that it has the edge on France. Here's why.

Rising Interest Rates to Cap Dairy Farm Expansion
Rising Interest Rates to Cap Dairy Farm Expansion

This year’s rising interest rates will continue to discourage expansion throughout the dairy industry as the cost to service debt soars.

Australia’s Dairy Problems Persist
Australia’s Dairy Problems Persist

Australia’s labor shortage is so severe that some dairies have partially or fully transitioned to less labor-intensive beef cattle operations, due in part to record-high beef prices.

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Drought Turns Dire in Southern South America

Three back-toBack La Niñas take a toll on crops and could force dairies to cull their herds.

China’s Appetite for Consumer Dairy Products Grows
China’s Appetite for Consumer Dairy Products Grows

China’s appetite for some dairy products has grown as consumers look to value-added products and the country’s pork industry recovers following devastating outbreaks of African swine fever that began in 2018.

Annual CME Barrel Cheese Prices Could Exceed Block Prices
Annual CME Barrel Cheese Prices Could Exceed Block Prices

A shortage of fresh barrel cheese has been driving the inverted price spread.

China’s Dairy Imports Slow along with Economy
China’s Dairy Imports Slow along with Economy

Milk powder imports hit particularly hard in part due to large current stockpiles

Butter Demand Teeters on Mountain-Top Prices
Butter Demand Teeters on Mountain-Top Prices

As consumers return to pre-pandemic habits and prices soar, demand for butter falters

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China Turns to Uruguay for Dairy

Angered at New Zealand for its comments on Taiwan, Beijing looks elsewhere to fill whole milk powder needs.

Dairy Supply Chain Continues to Face Challenges
Dairy Supply Chain Continues to Face Challenges

Increased fuel costs impedes movement of milk and milk components.

Heifer Shortage to Limit Expansion
Heifer Shortage to Limit Expansion

Crossbreeding for beef cows and the cost of raising heifers have added to the replacement heifer shortage.

Dairy Prices Surge at Retail
Dairy Prices Surge at Retail

Consumers who are battling soaring food prices try to stretch their grocery budgets.

Venezuela Dairy Industry Slowly Bouncing Back
Venezuela Dairy Industry Slowly Bouncing Back

Dairy consumption in the South American country is still only half of what it was in 2008

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Is a Volatile Summer Ahead for Dairy?

Temporary cream shortages and dwindling butter stocks add support to dairy markets.

Rising Milk Prices Start to Choke Demand in South America
Rising Milk Prices Start to Choke Demand in South America

As milk begins to contract, South American dairy processors have had to boost payouts to producers

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High Energy Costs Could Convince Some Powder Makers to Switch Products

U.S. average diesel prices up more than 70% year-over-year. Could this push processors to slow down powder production?

South American Exporters Having Trouble Moving Product to Russia
South American Exporters Having Trouble Moving Product to Russia

Dairy exporters from Argentina and Uruguay are looking for new dairy markets to offset the loss of the Russian market.

Dairy Producers Get Mixed Market Signals
Dairy Producers Get Mixed Market Signals

If the rising cost of feed offsets historically high milk prices, the signal to produce more milk could go unheeded.

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine to have Far-Reaching Impacts on Dairy
Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine to have Far-Reaching Impacts on Dairy

War in Ukraine will accelerate inflation for critical inputs along dairy supply chain.