Latest News From Global Economy

The U.S. And Europe Are At Odds Over Trump-Era Tariffs, And It's Now Causing Strained Relations
The U.S. And Europe Are At Odds Over Trump-Era Tariffs, And It's Now Causing Strained Relations

While the U.S. and EU aim to make progress during an upcoming summit, reaching a final agreement is uncertain. This issue has significant implications for U.S./EU ties, climate goals, and geopolitics.

Trade Relations Between the U.S. and China Just Got Even More Complicated
Trade Relations Between the U.S. and China Just Got Even More Complicated

China's Commerce minister expressed concerns over trade and tech restrictions to U.S. Senate Majority Leader this week. That's as the U.S. Commerce Department added 42 more Chinese companies to the export blacklist.

Is A Recession Imminent? Here Are The Red Flags Ag Economists Are Now Watching
Is A Recession Imminent? Here Are The Red Flags Ag Economists Are Now Watching

While ag economists continue to be at odds when it comes to the likelihood of a recession in the U.S., some doubt the country's biggest importers will be able to avoid a recession over the next 18 months.

Battle For Ukraine: The Untold Farming, People And Infrastructure Stories From The Front Lines
Battle For Ukraine: The Untold Farming, People And Infrastructure Stories From The Front Lines

“When Ukraine fails, in terms of their ability to produce agricultural products, the world becomes less safe,” says Howard Buffett, global philanthropist and Illinois farmer.

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Bank of America Says a U.S. Debt Default is "Likely"

Speaker McCarthy agreed that the House wouldn’t lift the debt ceiling unless Congress slashes federal spending next fiscal year. Because of this, Bank of America is telling clients to expect a debt default this fall.

U.S. Could Run Out of Money by Thursday if the Debt Limit Isn't Lifted
U.S. Could Run Out of Money by Thursday if the Debt Limit Isn't Lifted

If the nation’s debt hits $31.4 trillion—it’s on track to do so by this Thurs.—the Treasury will need to take “extraordinary measures” to help pay the government's operations and ward off a historic default.

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Chinese Delegates Meet with Top U.S. Officials in New York

China moved to close parks, malls and museums on Tues. as COVID-19 cases hit near-record levels. Lockdowns follow reports that, days before COP27, Xi sent policy and business advisers to New York to meet U.S. executives.

U.S. Recession Probability Soars as Inflation Pains Worsen
U.S. Recession Probability Soars as Inflation Pains Worsen

Economists see interest-rate increases raising likelihood of recession to 44% in coming 12 months.

COVID-19 Disruptions Causing Historic Economic Changes
COVID-19 Disruptions Causing Historic Economic Changes

Nearly two years after COVID-19 invaded our world, we are still living with its disruptions, but we should not overlook the more traditional factors also at play.

Clinton Griffiths: The Inflation Equation
Clinton Griffiths: The Inflation Equation

According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), food prices are up 40% over the past 15 months.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell
Fed Cuts Interest Rates, Trump Wants More

Seeking to bolster America’s economy amid growing fears over the coronavirus, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Tuesday by half a percentage point.

How do America’s food companies compare with the market’s overall average? The results – this week’s sell-off notwithstanding – are favorable.
Food Companies Stock Price Review: Chipotle, Tyson Stock on the Rise

How do America’s food companies compare with the market’s overall average? The results – this week’s sell-off notwithstanding – are favorable.

Andy Shissler of S&W Trading said juggling all these trade deals at once can be viewed as a game of dominos. China will be the last domino to fall, but it will take time.
Analyst: Trade War with China is Justified

As trade trumps most market news today, Andy Shissler of S&W Trading said juggling all these trade deals at once can be viewed as a game of dominos. China will be the last domino to fall, but it will take time.

Exchange Rates Adjust Amid Trade Turmoil
Exchange Rates Adjust Amid Trade Turmoil

The most impressive exchange rates changes this year have been the devaluations relative to the U.S. dollar (USD) of the Argentinian Peso and the Brazilian Real.

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What if US Withdraws from NAFTA; Possible Outcomes

What are possible outcomes if Pres Trump follows through on threat to withdraw from NAFTA?

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Business Lobby Risks Clash With Trump on Trade, Immigration

Business Lobby Risks Clash With Trump on Trade, Immigration 

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Drier New Zealand Pastures May Bolster U.S. Dairy Exports

New Zealand pasture growth raises questions about milk output.

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Will China's Appetite for Cheese Boost Milk Prices?

Last month Chinese officials announced they were lowing import tariffs on certain types of cheese.

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5 Milk Market Factors to Watch in 2018

As we get closer to 2018 economists are watching 5 important variables that could impact the dairy economy.  

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China: The Queen of Dairy Trade

While we would like to see all major markets consuming and importing more dairy, the health of the global dairy market relies on a strong China—which is why this year’s purchase patterns have been such a welcome development.

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NAFTA Ministers Extend Talks into 2018

NAFTA Ministers Extend Trade Talks into 2018 amid Deadlock

U.S. butter prices erupt
Europe Eats Into Butter Mountain in Sign High Prices to Stay

Global consumption seen rising 3% in 2017, USDA data show.

Canada PM Stands by Supply Management as U.S. Debates NAFTA
Canada PM Stands by Supply Management as U.S. Debates NAFTA

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says he will continue to defend the supply management system that protects the Canadian dairy industry in talks about revamping the North American Free Trade Agreement.

Aliko Dangote
Africa's Richest Man Invests $4.6 Billion in Nigeria Farming

Billionaire to spend on sugar, rice and dairy production.

Having an Agriculture Secretary with on-the-farm experience has farmers and ranchers eager to see what Sonny Perdue can get done at USDA.
Farmers and Ranchers Impressed by Secretary Perdue

Having an Agriculture Secretary with on-the-farm experience has farmers and ranchers eager to see what Sonny Perdue can get done at USDA.

Yili Organic Chinese Milk
China's Yili Scraps $667 Million Deal for Organic Milk Company

Yili also cancels plan to raise 9 billion yuan in placement.

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China's Dairies Rush to Plant-Based Milk as Latest Health Trend

Competition in yogurt, cheese market stiff as milk sales slow.

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America's $1.2 Billion Mexico Milk Trade Is Now at Risk

The biggest U.S. dairy importer is talking with New Zealand and buying more from the EU. Guess why.

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Trump, Walker Discuss Wisconsin Dairy Dispute

Gov. Scott Walker says he spoke with President Donald Trump about the nearly 40 Wisconsin dairy farmers desperately seeking help after being dropped by their milk buyer following a Canadian policy change.  

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So Far It's Milk, Not Corn, That's Down on Trump Trade Rhetoric

Nonfat dry milk futures are down 12% amid trade war concerns.

Justin Trudeau
Canada's Not the Challenge for U.S. Dairy, Trudeau Says

Canada to defend its protectionist dairy system in NAFTA talks.

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Canada Responds to Trump's Dairy Trade Admonishments

Canada's ambassador to Washington said Tuesday night that President Donald Trump is wrong when he says Canada's trade practices in the dairy industry are "very unfair."

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Mexico Warns U.S. It'll Cut Off NAFTA Talks If Tariffs Proposed

Mexico’s top trade negotiator doubled down on threats to break off talks to rework Nafta.

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Global Milk Demand, Population to Increase by 2025

With a growing population, global milk production is expected to keep increasing for nearly a decade.

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Could Congress Pass Trade Deal After Election?

Chances for passing the 12-nation Trans Pacific Partnership agreement, which includes ag and dairy exports, may depend on a lame duck session of Congress.

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Fonterra Maintains Milk Price Forecast

Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd., the world’s biggest dairy exporter, maintained its forecast milk payout for the current season even as a strong New Zealand dollar hurts its global competitiveness.

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The U.S. Is Sitting on a Mountain of Cheese

The U.S. is sitting on more butter and cheese than it knows what to do with, and the Europeans are to blame.

Rounds of Parmigiano Reggiano ripen in a storeroom.
Food Fraudsters Targeted With Software to Protect Your Cheese

The program, called EMAlert, models the decision-making behavior of fraudsters when they decide which food commodities to adulterate.

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Danone Expects Dairy to Improve After Sales Beat Estimates

Danone reported first-quarter sales that beat analysts’ estimates and forecast improvement in the dairy business, sending shares up the most in two months.

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Higher Crude Oil Prices Could Lift Powder Prices

Nonfat dry milk/skim milk powder prices tend to rise and fall with crude oil prices.

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Fonterra Speeds Dividends to Support Farmers as Profit Soars

Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd., the world’s biggest dairy exporter, is bringing forward dividend payments to help struggling farmers in New Zealand after first-half profit more than doubled.

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RBNZ Says Banks Can Absorb N.Z. Dairy Losses as Farmers Struggle

Banks can cope with the dairy downturn in New Zealand, even though about half the country’s farmers are experiencing a second straight season of losses, the central bank said.

Fonterra tanker collecting milk off farm
Fonterra Cuts Milk Price Forecast to 9-Year Low on Global Glut

Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd., the world’s largest dairy exporter, cut its milk price forecast to a fresh nine-year low as oversupply continues to depress the global market.

India
India Milk Production Soars Adding to Global Oversupply

Indian producers will add 2 million milk cows in 2016 and 6.5 percent more milk to global supply.

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Dairy Groups in Europe Call for More Aid

Delayed production response to low prices in Europe casts long shadow over world price recovery

USDA: Class III Milk Prices Won't Break $14.50 This Year
USDA: Class III Milk Prices Won't Break $14.50 This Year

According to USDA's Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for February 2016, it could be an ugly year for dairy farmers.

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WSJ: Bankers Feel Pinch of Low Milk Prices

The global over supply of milk is pushing prices downward and giving bankers around the globe heartburn.

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Dairy Processor CEO Says Global Trade Deal Has Little Impact on Canada

Saputo Inc., Canada’s largest dairy processor, said the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade accord will result in few global opportunities for domestic producers as the country’s quota system and import restrictions remain intact.

Could Milk Prices Rebound in 2016?
Could Milk Prices Rebound in 2016?

Milk prices in the U.S. continue to feel downward pressure and global markets are to blame.