Latest News From Jim Wiesemeyer

U.S. Recession Probability Soars as Inflation Pains Worsen
U.S. Recession Probability Soars as Inflation Pains Worsen

Economists see interest-rate increases raising likelihood of recession to 44% in coming 12 months.

Senate Ag Panel Expected to Vote Wednesday on Controversial Cattle and Meat Measures
Senate Ag Panel Expected to Vote Wednesday on Controversial Cattle and Meat Measures

The Cattle Price Discovery and Transparency Act and Meat and Poultry Special Investigator Act are both expected to get votes ad approval from the Senate Ag Committee this week, despite expected Republican opposition.

Vilsack Announces $2B in Funding to Transform U.S. Food System
Vilsack Announces $2B in Funding to Transform U.S. Food System

Transforming the U.S. food system by improving supply chains and addressing issues exposed by the Covid-19 pandemic was detailed by USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack during a speech at Georgetown University.

Can China's Economic Stats Be Trusted?
Can China's Economic Stats Be Trusted?

Shanghai offered some tax rebates for companies and allowed all manufacturers to resume operations from June as authorities rolled out policies to revitalize an economy impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns.

USDA Raises 2022 Food Inflation Forecasts Again, Highest Grocery Food Price Hikes in 42 Years
USDA Raises 2022 Food Inflation Forecasts Again, Highest Grocery Food Price Hikes in 42 Years

USDA raised its estimated range of 6.5%-7.5% y/y increase from a range of 5%-6%, according to the May Food Price Outlook report, the highest forecast for all food prices and restaurant prices since 1981.

Diesel Prices Jump 37% in 10 Weeks, Gas Prices Projected to Hit $6.20 by August
Diesel Prices Jump 37% in 10 Weeks, Gas Prices Projected to Hit $6.20 by August

The White House is considering waiving U.S. gasoline environmental rules aimed at reducing summertime smog, hoping the waiver will combat rising pump prices, Reuters reported.

Who Actually Won the U.S., China Trade War?
Who Actually Won the U.S., China Trade War?

The U.S.-China trade war began in July 2018 when the Trump administration imposed tariffs on $550 billion worth of Chinese goods. Nearly four years later, the debate remains as to which country actually won.

Filling A Tractor Tank Daily Now Costs Some Farmers $1,000, Double What It Did a Year Ago
Filling A Tractor Tank Daily Now Costs Some Farmers $1,000, Double What It Did a Year Ago

U.S. diesel prices are the highest ever, with warnings of shortages, especially in the eastern U.S., and the most intensive part of the farming season is still ahead.

USDA 2022 Food Price Inflation Forecasts Already at 14-Year High, Expected to Rise Even More
USDA 2022 Food Price Inflation Forecasts Already at 14-Year High, Expected to Rise Even More

USDA's 2022 food price inflation forecasts are already at a 14-year high with forecasts for consumer food price inflation increased again this month. All food prices now seen rising 5% to 6% vs 4.5% to 5.5% in March.

USDA Office Building
Vilsack Says Only 1.8 Mil. of 4 Mil. Expiring CRP Acres Will Be Re-Enrolled

USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack provided more details regarding the general CRP signup that ended March 11. He said only 1.8 million of the 4 million acres in expiring contracts will be re-enrolled in the program.

What You Need To Know About USDA Announcing Payments To Livestock Producers Hammered By Drought, Soaring Feed Costs
What You Need To Know About USDA Announcing Payments To Livestock Producers Hammered By Drought, Soaring Feed Costs

USDA says the launch of the Emergency Livestock Relief Program (ELRP) will address increases in supplemental feed costs in 2021. Phase 1 of the payments is expected to total $577 million.

USDA-office
Biden's USDA Budget Proposal Seeks Big CRP Boost with $2.4B to Enroll Targeted 27 Million Acres

President Biden's USDA FY 2023 budget proposal focuses on climate, conservation and research with $3.8 billion discretionary spending increase for USDA with climate, conservation and clean energy the major focal points.

Inflation Already Costing Consumers, USDA Makes Large Upward Revisions in Food Price Forecast
Inflation Already Costing Consumers, USDA Makes Large Upward Revisions in Food Price Forecast

USDA now expects food price inflation in 2022 to be from 4.5% to 5.5%, compared with 2021, based on the all-food Consumer Price Index. No category shows a potential decline.

Russian Invasion of Ukraine Overtakes Other Washington Issues as Congress Returns this Week
Russian Invasion of Ukraine Overtakes Other Washington Issues as Congress Returns this Week

Congress returns Monday, but to a very different situation due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which is expected to be one of the key issues President Biden talks about during his State of the Union address.

China Flag
China’s Central Bank Cut Rates for First Time in Two Years

On Monday the People’s Bank of China also announced a 0.1 percentage point cut to two of its key policy rates. It acted after GDP grew by more than 8% in 2021, but slowed down in the fourth quarter.

Manchin Blocks Biden's Build Back Better Climate and Social Agenda, What Happens Now?
Manchin Blocks Biden's Build Back Better Climate and Social Agenda, What Happens Now?

Lawmakers may have left town, but centrist Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) left no doubt that he cannot support President Biden’s $1.75 trillion social and climate spending plan, imperiling the president’s agenda.

CBO Report Shows True Cost of Biden Administration's Build Back Better Plan Closer to $5T
CBO Report Shows True Cost of Biden Administration's Build Back Better Plan Closer to $5T

Senate leadership’s timeline for the BBB proposal is just before Christmas, according to Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. Centrist Sen. Joe Manchin is calling for a strategic pause for the vote, delaying it into 2022.

USDA Significantly Boosts Net Farm Income Forecast, Highest Since 2013
USDA Significantly Boosts Net Farm Income Forecast, Highest Since 2013

Net cash farm income, which tracks producers’ cash flow, is forecast by USDA at $134.7B for 2021. That number is up $6.4B from February’s forecast and would be an increase of 21.5% from 2020's $110.9B.

CFAP 3 Is Coming, Is  It Needed?
CFAP 3 Is Coming, Is It Needed?

The ag provisions of the bill include $13 billion allocated to ag programs.

As of June 3, $545 Million CFAP Payments Made by USDA
As of June 3, $545 Million CFAP Payments Made by USDA

CFAP payment distribution appears to be slower than Perdue signaled.

USDA unveils Coronavirus Food Assistance Program
Perdue Announces $19 Billion Coronavirus Food Assistance Program

USDA has announced a $19 billion program to provide direct payments to farmers and bulk food purchases for food banks.

Flooding in Nebraska
Links to Help for Farmers, Ranchers Impacted by Floods

A list of resources for farmers and ranchers impacted by flooding.

Government shutdown to end
Government Shutdown to End, 3-Week Funding Agreement Reached

No funding for border wall, but lawmakers will discuss border security in weeks ahead

Commodity markets could finally see the long expected and hoped for rally if the U.S. and China can reach an agreement.
Jim Wiesemeyer: Hold On Tight; 2019 Will Be A Roller Coaster

Commodity markets could finally see the long expected and hoped for rally if the U.S. and China can reach an agreement.