Cheese Market Whiplash: Class III Milk Spikes, Then Sinks Ahead of USDA Report

Early day buying had May Class III milk touching over $18.50, a level we haven’t seen since late February.

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soft_cheese

After a skittish finish to last week’s spot sale, the offers showed up in cheese today. Early day buying had May Class III milk touching over $18.50, a level we haven’t seen since late February. Cheddar blocks and barrels had early offers but ended the day down. This triggered a whiplash effect in June Class III, with a high of $17.74 prior to spot, and a low at $17.11 after. The second half of the year found some life and held on better after spot concluded. USDA’s Milk Production report tomorrow will give a look at how California has bounced back from bird flu and should drive markets the rest of the week.

Today’s Highlights from Ever.Ag’s Know Your Markets

  • CME cheese markets started the week with a tumble. Blocks fell six cents to $1.7750 per pound, while barrels slipped to $1.8075, $0.0325 lower. One lot of blocks and five of barrels traded. Spot butter declined to $2.3200 per pound, shedding $0.0225, with one load exchanged. CME NDM was the only market to see green. The spot price ticked up a penny to $1.1825 per pound, the highest price since early March. Four lots changed hands.
  • The May Class III contract dropped 14 cents to $18.16 per hundredweight. Q3 futures were mixed, settling at $18.24, a two-cent gain. Class IV futures jumped higher, with Q3 contracts closing at $18.59 per hundredweight, adding 24 cents.
  • According to USDA’s Crop Progress report, 12% of the US corn crop was in the ground as of April 20. That compares to 11% last year and 10% on the five-year average. Soybean planting reached 8%, up from 7% in 2024 and the five-year average of 5%.

Ever.Ag - The risk of loss trading commodity futures and options can be substantial. Investors should carefully consider the inherent risks in light of their financial condition. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources to be reliable, however, no independent verification has been made. The information contained herein is strictly the opinion of its author and not necessarily of Ever.Ag and is intended to be a solicitation. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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