Cheese Slips to Two-Week Low as Class III Futures, Butter Follow Suit

Cheese and butter prices continued to decline, pulling Class III futures lower, while milk powder found support from stronger GDT auction results.

Hog markets went lower while cattle futures came up.
Hog markets went lower while cattle futures came up.
(freeimages.com)

Cheese prices continue to face pressure, with CME blocks now sitting at their lowest level in two weeks. Class III futures were trading mostly lower to start the trading session and the trend continued after spots. Q4 Class III prices closed at $18.44 per hundredweight, down another $0.07. Butter and powder prices moved in opposite directions. Spot butter prices slumped and nearby futures stepped notably lower. NDM prices, meanwhile, picked up following a rise in SMP prices at today’s GDT auction.

Today’s Highlights from Ever.Ag’s Know Your Markets

  • The CME butter market dropped again, down four cents to $2.5400 per pound, with no trades. Spot blocks and barrels each shed two cents, closing at $1.6250 and $1.6500 per pound, respectively. Four lots of blocks and zero of barrels changed hands. After a bump in GDT prices, spot NDM rose to $1.2750 per pound, adding $0.0075, with four loads exchanged.
  • Milk powder prices ticked higher at the GlobalDairyTrade auction, with SMP up 2.5% to $1.26 per pound and WMP rising 1.8% to $1.78. Most other commodities declined. The biggest drop was in cheddar, down 5.6% to $2.08 per pound. Butter eased just 0.4% to $3.40.
  • After several months of cooling, inflation picked up again – slightly – in June. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% on the month and +2.7% year-over-year compared to +0.1% and +2.4% in the May report. Grocery prices advanced 0.2% from May and +2.4% on the year versus +0.3% and +2.3% the previous month. Menu prices increased 0.4% month-over-month and +3.8% versus 2024 compared to May’s +0.3% and +3.8%.

Ever.Ag - The risk of loss trading commodity futures and options can be substantial. Investors should carefully consider the inherent risks in light of their financial condition. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources to be reliable, however, no independent verification has been made. The information contained herein is strictly the opinion of its author and not necessarily of Ever.Ag and is intended to be a solicitation. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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