The Unexpected Shift in Butter Stocks

The combination of bullish storage data, steady production and incremental price gains paints an intriguing picture for the butter market.

butter.jpg
butter.jpg
(Farm Journal)

USDA released its July Cold Storage on Friday after market close. Butter storage data was bullish according to our Insights team, highlighted by a larger-than-expected drawdown of stocks that increased the year-over-year deficit. Despite that, spot butter started this week with just a small move upward. Cream remains relatively inexpensive and butter production has been strong, so the storage decline might suggest healthy demand. While spot butter only rose a half cent, futures contracts added between a penny and a nickel, which could signal more increases at the CME in the coming days.

Blocks were the biggest mover to start the week, climbing 4.5¢ to $1.795 per pound with nine lots changing hands. Barrels held at $1.76 with no trades. Butter inched up a half cent to $2.24 per pound, with three lots exchanged. Nonfat dry milk eased slightly, down a quarter cent, to $1.2575. Five lots traded. Dry whey gained 1.5¢ to close at 7¢. One load traded.

Following spot blocks, fourth quarter Class III milk futures settled higher at $17.86 per hundredweight, up 12¢. The September “all cheese” contract also gained ground, ticking up to $1.8790 per pound, a 1.5¢ gain. But November and December moved in the opposite direction, closing at $1.819 and $1.796 per pound, $0.001 and $0.004 lower, respectively.

USDA’s Crop Progress report indicated U.S. crops remain very healthy. As of Aug. 24, 71% of the U.S. corn crop was in good or excellent condition, unchanged on the week and well ahead of the five-year average of 59%. Soybeans were 69% good or excellent compared to 68% last week and 60% on the five-year average.

Your Next Read:
U.S. Dairy Herd Continues to Grow: Fastest Pace in 17 Years

DHM Logo-Black-CL
Read Next
As rural housing becomes harder to find, one Wisconsin dairy is building more than a workforce by providing homes for nearly all of its employees and helping families put down roots in the community.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App